AAPRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUM

Alcoa

$48.67
+2.51% today · $13.03B mkt cap
Forensic verdict

Exhausted

The story has spent most of its energy.

65%
Signal conviction
Hit rate: 32% · 28 trades
Fair-value divergence
-27.0%
Trading at a discount · fair value $66.02
Verification match
50/100
Claims vs. SEC filings
Epistemic drift
0/100
Story vs. disclosures
Source authority
75/100
Outlet credibility
Coordination
Organic spread
Cross-source timing & phrasing — score 10.
Price-impact probability
WKS -3
Bullish directional energy · ACS 73
Trading footprint
Moderate concern
Tape anomaly read — distinct from the narrative signal.
Narrative decay
2d half-life
Neutral regime
Today’s strategy signals
All strategies →
Williams %R Oversold
after Larry Williams · Mean Reversion
LONG

Williams %R=-92 (< -90, deep oversold)

conviction 18%entry $53.08target $65.82stop $46.71R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · L. Williams, How I Made One Million Dollars... (1979)

Candidate screen — research signals named after their originators, computed from price/volume only. Not a trade recommendation; the lane is early (≈4 months, one regime).

Tracked price · last 90 sessions
Interactive Signal Lab →
Narrative under audit
“Alcoa (AA) released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript, providing detailed commentary on the company's recent financial performance and operational updates.”
Recent narratives tracked
01

Alcoa (AA) released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript, providing detailed commentary on the company's recent financial performance and operational updates.

02

Wells Fargo has reaffirmed its Buy rating on Alcoa (AA), indicating a positive outlook for the stock.

03

The Finviz page for AA displays current stock price and quote information for Alcoa Corp.

04

PROFUND VP MIDCAP VALUE's historical holding data for Alcoa provides insights into institutional investment trends for the company.

05

The transcript for Alcoa (AA) Q1 2026 earnings call is available.

06

Alcoa (AA) stock is experiencing a 6-day losing streak, resulting in a 15% decline.

07

Alcoa Corp's stock price and quote information is available through Finviz.

08

Alcoa (AA) shares are declining due to falling aluminum prices, reflecting a negative impact from commodity market dynamics on its core business.

Go deeper on Alcoa
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Forensic research, not investment advice. Scores reflect how the narrative holds up against the filings as of 2026-07-02.