AAPLELECTRONIC COMPUTERS

Apple

$308.06
+4.65% today · $4.73T mkt cap
Forensic verdict

Overvalued — Stable

Richly valued but structurally calm for now.

68%
Signal conviction
Hit rate: 72% · 32 trades
Fair-value divergence
+48.6%
Trading rich · fair value $206.88
Verification match
78/100
Claims vs. SEC filings
Epistemic drift
0/100
Story vs. disclosures
Source authority
70/100
Outlet credibility
Coordination
Organic spread
Cross-source timing & phrasing — score 0.
Price-impact probability
WKS +8
Neutral directional energy · ACS 80
Trading footprint
Normal activity
Tape anomaly read — distinct from the narrative signal.
Narrative decay
2d half-life
Neutral regime
Today’s strategy signals
All strategies →
Internal Bar Strength
after Pagonidis (IBS) · Mean Reversion
LONG

IBS=0.09 (<0.20) closing weak in an uptrend

conviction 36%entry $275.15target $310.54stop $257.46R:R 2.0
3-day horizon · Pagonidis, The IBS Effect: Mean Reversion in Equity ETFs (2014)
Williams %R Oversold
after Larry Williams · Mean Reversion
LONG

Williams %R=-95 (< -90, deep oversold)

conviction 35%entry $275.15target $310.54stop $257.46R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · L. Williams, How I Made One Million Dollars... (1979)
Short-Term Reversal
after Lehmann / Jegadeesh · Mean Reversion
LONG

bottom 15%ile 5d return (-7.7%), oversold in an uptrend

conviction 17%entry $275.15target $310.54stop $257.46R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · Lehmann (1990); Jegadeesh (1990) short-term reversal
Bollinger Band Reversion
after John Bollinger · Mean Reversion
LONG

close 2.17σ below MA20 (<= -2σ lower band)

conviction 6%entry $275.15target $310.54stop $257.46R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · J. Bollinger, Bollinger on Bollinger Bands (2001)
Connors RSI(2)
after Larry Connors · Mean Reversion
LONG

RSI(2)=9.8 (<10), price above MA100

conviction 1%entry $275.15target $310.54stop $257.46R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · Connors & Alvarez, Short Term Trading Strategies That Work (2008)

Candidate screen — research signals named after their originators, computed from price/volume only. Not a trade recommendation; the lane is early (≈4 months, one regime).

Tracked price · last 90 sessions
Interactive Signal Lab →
Narrative under audit
AAPL narrative: analyst ratings and price targets summary of ratings and targets (recent)
Recent narratives tracked
01

AAPL narrative: analyst ratings and price targets summary of ratings and targets (recent)

02

Apple's stock fell 6% following mid-cycle price hikes, leading to questions about its future price trajectory.

03

Apple's stock tumbled over 6% after hiking MacBook and iPad prices due to the high costs associated with memory chip demand driven by AI, reflecting the negative side of the AI coin for the company.

04

Apple's stock tumbled over 6% after hiking MacBook and iPad prices, contrasting with Micron Technology's surge due to strong AI chip demand, highlighting the dual impact of AI on the market.

05

Apple is increasingly focused on AI, as evidenced by a revamped Siri launching later this year and significantly accelerated research and development (R&D) spending, despite market perception that it lags competitors in the AI race.

06

Apple's upcoming AI upgrade is unlikely to significantly alter the company's stock performance.

07

Apple's stock slipped after WWDC26, and the narrative speculates on its future direction.

08

Under Tim Cook's leadership, Apple's stock soared over 2,000%, and investors will likely miss his tenure.

Go deeper on Apple
Open the full interactive dossier — narrative clusters, price-impact dots, and the live Signal Lab.
Open full dossier

Forensic research, not investment advice. Scores reflect how the narrative holds up against the filings as of 2026-07-02.