IBMCOMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT

IBM

$288.30
+0.72% today · $270.19B mkt cap
Forensic verdict

Exhausted

The story has spent most of its energy.

Advanced physics: Rapid Decay
81%
Signal conviction
Hit rate: 60% · 20 trades
Fair-value divergence
+91.5%
Trading rich · fair value $149.49
Verification match
94/100
Claims vs. SEC filings
Epistemic drift
25/100
Story vs. disclosures
Source authority
74/100
Outlet credibility
Coordination
Organic spread
Cross-source timing & phrasing — score 0.
Price-impact probability
WKS +2
Bullish directional energy · ACS 88
Trading footprint
Normal activity
Tape anomaly read — distinct from the narrative signal.
Narrative decay
90d half-life
Persistent regime
Today’s strategy signals
All strategies →
Internal Bar Strength
after Pagonidis (IBS) · Mean Reversion
LONG

IBS=0.18 (<0.20) closing weak in an uptrend

conviction 6%entry $258.27target $303.52stop $235.65R:R 2.0
3-day horizon · Pagonidis, The IBS Effect: Mean Reversion in Equity ETFs (2014)

Candidate screen — research signals named after their originators, computed from price/volume only. Not a trade recommendation; the lane is early (≈4 months, one regime).

Tracked price · last 90 sessions
Interactive Signal Lab →
Narrative under audit
IBM, as a key competitor in the quantum computing market, faces a critical cash runway and dilution risk test by 2028 which could determine their long-term survival for investors.
Recent narratives tracked
01

IBM, as a key competitor in the quantum computing market, faces a critical cash runway and dilution risk test by 2028 which could determine their long-term survival for investors.

02

IBM stock is experiencing activity on Thursday, prompting inquiry into its underlying causes.

03

IBM narrative: Q1_FY2026_earnings transcript available (Q1 FY2026)

04

JPMorgan upgraded IBM stock to Overweight, citing AI platform adoption as a driver for growth optimism.

05

IBM's stock is surging and defying a broader tech selloff, suggesting resilience amid market downturns.

06

The Dow rallied, driven by gains in shares of IBM and Sherwin-Williams Co.

07

Established tech companies like IBM, despite their stability and profits, derive a small percentage of revenue from quantum computing and may grow slower than pure-play quantum startups like IonQ.

08

Many Canadian organizations are not prepared to deliver in the next era of business AI, which could present an opportunity or challenge for IBM's AI and consulting services.

Go deeper on IBM
Open the full interactive dossier — narrative clusters, price-impact dots, and the live Signal Lab.
Open full dossier

Forensic research, not investment advice. Scores reflect how the narrative holds up against the filings as of 2026-07-02.