SMCIELECTRONIC COMPUTERS

Super Micro

$27.22
$17.61B mkt cap
Forensic verdict

Exhausted

The story has spent most of its energy.

Advanced physics: Rapid Decay
69%
Signal conviction
Hit rate: 56% · 43 trades
Fair-value divergence
+3.2%
Near fair value · fair value $26.37
Verification match
83/100
Claims vs. SEC filings
Epistemic drift
0/100
Story vs. disclosures
Source authority
66/100
Outlet credibility
Coordination
Organic spread
Cross-source timing & phrasing — score 0.
Price-impact probability
WKS +31
Bearish directional energy · ACS 83
Trading footprint
Moderate concern
Tape anomaly read — distinct from the narrative signal.
Narrative decay
90d half-life
Neutral regime
Today’s strategy signals
All strategies →
Williams %R Oversold
after Larry Williams · Mean Reversion
LONG

Williams %R=-94 (< -90, deep oversold)

conviction 37%entry $27.22target $33.75stop $23.95R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · L. Williams, How I Made One Million Dollars... (1979)

Candidate screen — research signals named after their originators, computed from price/volume only. Not a trade recommendation; the lane is early (≈4 months, one regime).

Tracked price · last 90 sessions
Interactive Signal Lab →
Narrative under audit
Super Micro Computer is currently trading at its most attractive valuation in 18 months, suggesting a potential buying opportunity for investors.
Recent narratives tracked
01

Super Micro Computer is currently trading at its most attractive valuation in 18 months, suggesting a potential buying opportunity for investors.

02

Dell Technologies stock may receive a boost following Super Micro Computer's recent decline caused by a raid, as investors consider alternatives for AI server hardware.

03

SMCI narrative: Q3 FY2026 earnings Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (Q3 FY2026)

04

Super Micro Computer, after overcoming fraud allegations and significant share dilution, is now trading at an attractive valuation relative to its strong revenue growth in the AI sector, potentially making it a good investment.

05

Super Micro Computer Inc. stock underperformed its competitors on Wednesday.

06

Super Micro Computer's stock is a polarizing investment due to strong sales growth driven by AI server demand, offset by concerns over thin margins, governance issues, and a low valuation compared to earnings.

07

Super Micro Computer's stock is experiencing a significant surge in value today.

08

Super Micro Computer stock is rapidly increasing in value, suggesting strong market enthusiasm for the company.

Go deeper on Super Micro
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Forensic research, not investment advice. Scores reflect how the narrative holds up against the filings as of 2026-07-03.