TSLAMOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

Tesla

$393.50
-7.48% today · $1.36T mkt cap
Forensic verdict

Narrative Trap

Price is detached from fundamentals while claims still verify — a richly-valued story with coordination present.

Advanced physics: Coordinated Campaign
74%
Signal conviction
Hit rate: 45% · 47 trades
Fair-value divergence
+386.9%
Far above fair value · fair value $80.37
Verification match
98/100
Claims vs. SEC filings
Epistemic drift
0/100
Story vs. disclosures
Source authority
68/100
Outlet credibility
Coordination
Organic spread
Cross-source timing & phrasing — score 0.
Price-impact probability
WKS -30
Neutral directional energy · ACS 80
Trading footprint
Normal activity
Tape anomaly read — distinct from the narrative signal.
Narrative decay
2d half-life
Neutral regime
Today’s strategy signals
All strategies →
Williams %R Oversold
after Larry Williams · Mean Reversion
LONG

Williams %R=-99 (< -90, deep oversold)

conviction 40%entry $373.57target $438.38stop $341.16R:R 2.0
5-day horizon · L. Williams, How I Made One Million Dollars... (1979)

Candidate screen — research signals named after their originators, computed from price/volume only. Not a trade recommendation; the lane is early (≈4 months, one regime).

Tracked price · last 90 sessions
Interactive Signal Lab →
Narrative under audit
Tesla stock is falling after recent gains as the broader auto industry contends with rising copper prices.
Recent narratives tracked
01

Tesla stock is falling after recent gains as the broader auto industry contends with rising copper prices.

02

Michael Burry, known from 'The Big Short,' has revealed fresh bets against Tesla, indicating a bearish outlook on the company.

03

While Tesla's stock has risen 17% over the past year, industrial giants like GE Vernova and Caterpillar have significantly outperformed it, driven by strong backlogs and demand for power infrastructure linked to AI and EVs.

04

Tesla's stock is performing poorly this week and month, indicating recent negative market sentiment.

05

An ETF is heavily invested in SpaceX stock and could also benefit from a potential Tesla acquisition, suggesting a relationship between the two companies' market performance.

06

Tesla's stock decline, alongside SpaceX, has caused Elon Musk to lose his trillionaire status, prompting investors to question whether the dip presents a buying opportunity.

07

SpaceX stock performance and Tesla's woes have caused Elon Musk to lose his trillionaire status.

08

The New York Times is soliciting feedback from recent Tesla purchasers to understand their experiences.

Go deeper on Tesla
Open the full interactive dossier — narrative clusters, price-impact dots, and the live Signal Lab.
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Forensic research, not investment advice. Scores reflect how the narrative holds up against the filings as of 2026-07-02.